Free picks, PPs: Thursday's Dubai World Cup Carnival races

February 12, 2020 04:47pm
The seventh Dubai World Cup Carnival card of the year is set for Thursday, including a high-quality field of older horses in the featured Firebreak Stakes (G3), among them former U.S. stakes winner Quip. He'll be up against Saudi Cup (G1) hopeful Capezzano and Muntazah, a local track record holder, going a mile on dirt.

Thanks to picks by Racing TV handicapper Angus McNae, you can play along. Plus, see free past performances for the seven-race card below.

First post time is 9:30 a.m. ET, with Dubai racing airing on TVG. Good luck!

RELATED: Play Dubai races on DerbyWars!

McNae's Top 5 picks below...

Race 3 (10:40 a.m. ET) - 
Bochart in the Tabloid

This horse was most impressive when winning here last time out in a fast time, and from the inside draw I anticipate another really bold show from the front. That win was aided by a fast rail and unusually for a dirt sprint here he was able to carve out relatively even fractions. There could be some pace pressure from My Catch, but he is drawn wide in stall 10 and will have to work very hard to find the lead. Given he needs to lead, I don’t see him as a danger. I do think Truck Salesman is a threat after his excellent second to Gladiator King last time, but he’s never been very consistent and needs to back that up now. Bochart can dominate here and win again.

Race 4 (11:15 a.m. ET) - 
Peri Lina in the Balanchine

This may well go to Magic Lily at restrictive odds after her Cape Verdi success last time, where she had Peri Lina back in fourth place. However, I think Peri Lina can improve now that she steps up in trip. She wasn’t well positioned in the race last time. Held up and wide, she had a lot to do turning in, but the sectionals show that she came home strongly. Indeed her last 400 meters were exactly the same as Magic Lily. That trip of a mile was too sharp for Peri Lina, who has form at up to 12 furlongs. She is a decent win/show play in a race with a short-priced favorite, who although classy needs to put back to back efforts together.

Race 5 (11:50 a.m. ET) -
 Roulston Scar in the Reach

This horse won in a good time on his Dubai debut and and shaped very well in third behind Rusumaat last week. He showed his customary early pace and had every chance but was on the wrong part of the track the way things planned out. He raced toward the middle, whereas the winner and runner-up were close to the favored stand-side rail. Now back down in trip to five furlongs and drawn toward the stands in stall 10, he can make amends.

Race 6 (12:25 p.m. ET) - 
Muntazah in the Firebreak

This is some race. Traditionally, it’s a trial for the Godolphin Mile (G2), and I take Muntazah to be significantly fitter for this than on his debut in Round 1 of the Maktoum Challenge (G2). He clearly needed the run when fourth that day and is better judged on his track record-breaking win over this trip on Super Saturday last year. That win was achieved on a speed-favoring rail, but even so it was a sensational effort. He looks to get a good trip here behind the pace which crucially should hold up before Jim Crowley strikes for home. The opposition is formidable. Quip is a class act, and Matterhorn is a fascinating runner for Salem Bin Ghadayer. This horse was a top-class synthetic performer in the UK and who knows what Salem can get him to do here, and don’t forget Capezzano. He’s back, and as we know from last year he can do special things. It’s a brilliant race, but I take Muntazah to prevail.

Race 7 (1 p.m. ET) Meydan -
 First Nation in the Friday

This race looks like it will go to Godolphin, and I believe that First Nation can win again here at Meydan. I’m wary of the progressive Dubai Future, but he is drawn wide. First Nation has shaped well both starts here this season, and the step up to 12 furlongs figures to suit. He has been finishing well over 10 furlongs, where the pace has not been conducive to his hold up run style. James Doyle is riding with plenty of confidence and this strong traveller can provide him with another winner.

If past performances aren't displaying below, click here to view them in a separate window.

 

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